Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts

Praise for INSIDE THE CRYSTAL BALL

"An exceptionally clear and comprehensive guide to forecasting. Maury Harris conveys his wealth of experience, knowledge, and judgment in a practical and usable manner for the forecasting practitioner. The book describes the tools, the pitfalls, what to believe, and what to discount. It is an essential read for anyone looking into the future."
—David Crowe, Chief Economist, Economics and Housing Policy, National Association of Home Builders

"Consensus forecasts are often wrong, a point well known to most pundits. Maury Harris' thoughtful analysis often has shown what the majority is missing. This rare and valuable skill stems from a deep understanding of the pitfalls associated with making forecasts. He explains why accuracy is an art, not a science. A wonderful read."
—Henry J. Herrmann, CEO and COB, Waddell & Reed Financial, Inc.

"Maury provides two sides to a very important coin. First, forecasters benefit from a simple, user-friendly read on developing forecasts but also being realistic about the pitfalls and degree of accuracy on the forecast. Second, Maury's work also provides the user of forecasts an interesting and much-needed perspective on the value of forecasts and what forecasts can and cannot deliver. I would recommend Maury's book."
—John E. Silvia, Chief Economist, Wells Fargo; incoming President, the National Association of Business Economists