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Positive Alpha Generation: Designing Sound Investment Processes

توضیحات

Successful investing is about generating ideas on the future of financial markets. But it is also about implementing these ideas in portfolios, managing risk, and satisfying investor needs. Dr. Diderich presents tools and techniques to develop investment processes to allow the successful transfer of investment ideas into real performance, that is, positive alpha. The book explains the underlying theoretical concepts and describes how they can be applied in practice. A key focus is put on illustrative real world examples.

Dr. Diderich uses the value chain concept as guiding principle to explain the different value-adding stages of an investment process. The book covers process as well as organization aspects related to generating positive alpha. It focuses on different quantitative and qualitative techniques for forecasting markets and taking investment decisions. The author devotes three chapters to risk management. Portfolio construction algorithms, ranging from the classical Markowitz model to advanced risk budgeting as well as factor model-based approaches, are reviewed and their usage illustrated. A special focus is put on practical implementation aspects, like handing transaction costs and using derivative instruments. As an investment product is only as good as the needs it satisfies, Dr. Diderich presents and compares different investment processes for different types of products ranging from benchmark-oriented portfolios, absolute positive return solutions, capital protection approaches, hedge funds, to liability-driven investing methods. Quality control is related to performance measurement models.

This book shows how an investment manager can provide investment solutions that maximize his or her opportunities along the four dimensions, delivering promised performance, being flexible as well as cost efficient, offering transparency, and providing innovation in order to best satisfy the investor's needs. At the end of the book the reader will be capable of designing or enhancing an investment process for a single or a family of investment products and portfolios from start to finish. The book will be of interest to portfolio managers, investment product designers, quantitative analysts and anyone involved in investment design processes.


Dr. Claude Diderich is a Manager at the Financial Services Practice of Deloitte Consulting in Zurich, Switzerland. Previously he was head of investment process and portfolio analytics at a major Swiss private bank, where he was developing innovative investment solutions for institutional and private investors with a focus on the underlying alpha generating investment process. Previously Dr. Diderich worked at Credit Suisse Asset Management where he designed and implemented different successful asset allocation and fixed income investment products and the associated investment processes. Dr. Diderich holds a doctor ès sciences and a masters in computer science engineering from the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Lausanne. He is a certified EFFAS Financial Analyst and Portfolio Manager, FRM certified, and a certified New Product Development Professional.
Preface.

1. Introduction.

1.1 Characteristics of a successful investment process.

1.2 Challenges to be solved.

1.3 Approach taken in this book.

1.4 Structure of the book.

1.5 Notation.

PART I: THE VALUE CHAIN OF ACTIVE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT.

2. Key Success Factors for Generating Positive Alpha Positive Alpha.

2.1 Key success factors.

2.2 Decomposing return.

2.3 Defining risk.

2.4 The information ratio.

2.5 Fundamental law of active management.

2.6 The process of developing an investment process.

3. The Investment Management Value Chain.

3.1 The value chain components.

3.2 Designing a value chain based investment process.

3.3 Implementing the value chain approach.

3.4 Investment Processes Example.

PART II: FORECASTING MARKETS.

4. Judgmental Approaches for Forecasting Markets Markets.

4.1 Market efficiencies.

4.2 Understanding asset returns.

4.3 Forecasting asset returns.

4.4 Example.

5. Quantitative Approaches for Forecasting Markets for Forecasting Markets.

5.1 Building a quantitative forecasting model.

5.2 Defining the model structure.

5.3 Handling data in parameter estimation.

5.4 Testing the model.

5.5 Mitigating model risk.

5.6 Example.

6. Taking Investment Decisions.

6.1 Understanding the theory of decision making.

6.2 Building a decision making process.

6.3 Example.

PART III: RISK MEASUREMENT AND MANAGEMENT.

7. Modeling Risk.

7.1 The different dimensions of risk.

7.2 Risk management from an investor's perspective.

7.3 Risk from an investment manager's perspective.

7.4 The theory behind modeling market risk.

7.5 The process of developing a risk model.

7.6 Information risk.

8. Volatility as a Risk Measure.

8.1 The volatility risk model in theory.

8.2 Selecting data for parameter estimation.

8.3 Estimating the risk model's parameters.

8.4 Decomposing volatility.

8.5 Additional pitfalls.

8.6 Testing risk models.

9. Alternative Risk Measures.

9.1 Framework defining risk.

9.2 Alternative return distributions.

9.3 Exposure based risk models.

9.4 Nonparametric risk models.

9.5 Handling assets with nonlinear payoffs.

9.6 Credit risk models.

PART IV: PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION.

10. Single Period Mean-Variance Based Portfolio Construction Portfolio Construction.

10.1 Developing a modular portfolio construction process.

10.2 The mean-variance framework.

10.3 The Markowitz mean-variance model.

10.4 Alternative mean-variance based models.

10.5 Models with alternative risk definitions.

10.6 Information risk based models.

10.7 Selecting a portfolio construction approach.

11. Single Period Factor Model Based Portfolio Construction Portfolio Construction.

11.1 Factor models and their relation to risk.

11.2 Portfolio construction exploiting idiosyncratic risk.

11.3 Pure factor model exposure based portfolio construction.

11.4 Factor sensitivity based portfolio construction.

11.5 Combining systematic and specific risk based portfolio construction algorithms.

12. Dynamic Portfolio Construction.

12.1 Dynamic portfolio construction models.

12.2 Dynamic portfolio construction algorithms.

PART V PORTFOLIO IMPLEMENTATION.

13. Transaction Costs, Liquidity and Trading.

13.1 Understanding transaction costs and market liquidity.

13.2 The action and context of trading.

13.3 Implementation and trading as a module of an investment process value chain.

13.4 Equity asset allocation trading approach example.

14. Using Derivatives.

14.1 Derivative Instrument characteristics.

14.2 Using derivatives to implement an investment strategy.

14.3 Example.

PART VI: INVESTMENT PRODUCTS AND SOLUTIONS.

15. Benchmark Oriented Solutions Benchmark Oriented Solutions.

15.1 benchmarks.

15.2 Passive benchmark oriented investment solutions.

15.3 Active benchmark oriented investment solutions.

15.4 Core-satellite solutions.

15.5 A sample benchmark oriented solution.

16. Absolute Positive Return Solutions.

16.1 What absolute positive return can mean.

16.2 Satisfying the investor's expectations.

16.3 The relationship between risk and return.

16.4 Long-only forecasting based solutions.

16.5 The portable alpha approach.

16.6 combining APR and benchmark oriented solutions.

17. Capital Protection and Preservation Approaches Approaches.

17.1 The investor's utility function.

17.2 Portfolio insurance investment processes.

17.3 Comparing different PIIPs.

17.4 Managing risk.

17.5 Designing a client specific capital protection solution.

18. Hedge Funds Hedge Funds.

18.1 Success factors of hedge funds.

18.2 Exploitable alpha generating sources.

18.3 Issues specific to hedge funds.

18.4 Developing a hedge fund investment process.

18.5 Hedge funds as an asset class.

19. Liability Driven Investing.

19.1 The concept of liability driven investing.

19.2 Portfolio construction in a Liability driven investment context.

19.3 Liability driven investment solutions.

19.4 A process for determining an LDI solution.

PART VII: QUALITY MANAGEMENT.

20. Investment Performance Measurement.

20.1 Performance measurement dimensions.

20.2 Setting up a performance measurement framework.

20.3 Basics of performance measurement.

20.4 Performance attribution.

20.5 Performance contribution.

20.6 The process behind the process.

20.7 Practical considerations in performance measurement.

20.8 Examples of performance measurement frameworks.

Bibliography.

Index.