A Quantitative Approach to Commercial Damages: Applying Statistics to the Measurement of Lost Profits, + Website

A step-by-step approach to estimating and computing business interruption losses

Accurately estimating damages in business interruption cases is a make- or-break formula for companies who need to be compensated for their loss of income. Make a mistake, and those doors may never reopen. With A Quantitative Approach to Commercial Damages, you'll have the analytical tools and step-by-step instructions you need to prepare an accurate damage claim.

Authors Mark Filler and James DiGabriele apply their forensic and valuation expertise to explain the complicated process of measuring business interruption damages, whether the losses are from natural or man-made disasters, or whether the performance of one company adversely affects the performance of another. More than 250 screenshots, sixteen case studies, key cell formulas, Excel spreadsheet applications, and a companion website provide clear instructions to help you construct your own formula and spreadsheets.

Expertly demonstrating the various methods you can use to estimate business interruption losses during a specified loss period, A Quantitative Approach to Commercial Damages includes:

• The three big statistical ideas

• What is regression analysis and where have I seen it before?

• Accounting for seasonality, trend, and interventions

• The defendant's expert's report and the plaintiff's expert's report

• Skeptical analysis using the fraud theory approach

• Testing for seasonality and trend with a regression model

• Prediction errors and their measurement

• Double exponential smoothing (Holt's Method)

• The next frontier in the application of statistics

The calculation of economic damages in lost profits cases calls for sophisticated modeling techniques to handle seasonality and exponential trends. Learn from the pros how to make precise computations with the help of A Quantitative Approach to Commercial Damages.